Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 3.518107e-01 0.457520 0.572550 0.705268 0.852587 1.009722 1.188689
2025-10-05 2.271991e-01 0.371707 0.545441 0.761219 1.015010 1.298317 1.633310
2025-10-12 1.615557e-01 0.320795 0.527503 0.797276 1.125978 1.502486 1.956688
2025-10-19 1.249662e-01 0.296899 0.535222 0.858375 1.262272 1.733190 2.308897
2025-10-26 9.417975e-02 0.271661 0.534353 0.903183 1.374423 1.932038 2.621144
2025-11-02 6.228584e-02 0.234065 0.509840 0.912489 1.439115 2.071808 2.862235
2025-11-09 2.860700e-02 0.176283 0.446233 0.862485 1.423792 2.111129 2.981296
2025-11-16 8.063101e-03 0.125369 0.382372 0.804432 1.392377 2.126427 3.067994
2025-11-23 1.227993e-03 0.096838 0.349031 0.785450 1.408791 2.198249 3.220487
2025-11-30 9.412897e-07 0.082482 0.338320 0.798225 1.466465 2.320880 3.434069
2025-12-07 NaN 0.064859 0.316695 0.791735 1.496263 2.407127 3.602294
2025-12-14 NaN 0.045666 0.285312 0.766415 1.497819 2.455793 3.723046
2025-12-21 NaN 0.042658 0.293373 0.808184 1.597517 2.635884 4.013198
2025-12-28 NaN 0.042233 0.308369 0.862331 1.715970 2.841799 4.337472
2026-01-04 NaN 0.039245 0.315392 0.902445 1.813993 3.020820 4.627876
2026-01-11 NaN 0.041121 0.336566 0.967117 1.947575 3.246543 4.977037
2026-01-18 NaN 0.039849 0.348055 1.014919 2.056857 3.440603 5.286744
2026-01-25 NaN 0.032289 0.338245 1.024775 2.110862 3.562108 5.505510
2026-02-01 NaN 0.017433 0.294889 0.971595 2.070974 3.558856 5.566574
2026-02-08 NaN 0.006600 0.249854 0.909726 2.014911 3.531874 5.595813
2026-02-15 NaN 0.002594 0.228224 0.889471 2.019346 3.584158 5.724229
2026-02-22 NaN 0.001371 0.223911 0.903105 2.075165 3.705455 5.940604
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000224 0.210194 0.896179 2.098674 3.782671 6.100338